Sunday 24 February 2013

A Simple Plan To Dramatically Improve Your Trading


Let me ask you a question, and please answer yourself honestly: Do you have a plan of action for your daily trading routine or do you just open your charts and randomly start trying to find trades with no logical guidance behind your actions?

Plans give you a “roadmap” of how to go about getting what you want in life. Not having a plan for something makes it harder, it doesn’t matter what it is. Even if you are planning a family vacation that should be full of enjoyment and relaxation, if you don’t have at least a basic guide as to what you will do each day, it’s probably going to end up being confusing, semi-chaotic and highlighted by fights and disagreements rather than fun and laughter. Planning makes everything simpler and easier to accomplish, and a simple plan can put even a complex or lofty goal within reach.

Today, I am going to lay out a simple plan that you can use to improve your trading. The only “catch” with this is whether or not you have the discipline to stick to it. Most people struggle with discipline in the markets, but simplifying your daily trading routine can make it easier to stay on track and remain disciplined. So, let’s discuss the various components of this simple plan that I’ve designed for you and then next week you can get started following it and see if your trading improves.

Note: The steps below are meant as a basic trading guide or plan to help struggling or beginning traders. If you are serious about using this plan, then you should follow it for at least two or three months and then tweak it as you see fit after that.

Step 1: Trade only major markets

The first step to this simple daily trading guide is to be sure you’re only analyzing some of the major markets. I like to stick to the major forex currency pairs as well as spot Gold, Crude Oil and Dow. Here’s the symbols for the markets that I follow the most frequently and the ones you should follow for this simple trading plan:

EURUSD, GBPUSD, AUDUSD, NZDUSD, USDCAD, USDJPY, EURJPY, GBPJPY, AUDJPY, XAUUSD, WTI, DJ30

That’s 12 markets, more than enough to focus on. If you’re in the USA and you can’t trade spot Gold, Crude or Dow then just focus on the currency pairs I’ve listed.

There really is no need to analyze 20 or 30 markets like many traders do. Besides, if something big happens that really moves the markets, it’s probably going to show up as a price action signal on one of the 12 markets I’ve listed above anyways. If you really want to simplify your daily trading routine, you should scale-back the markets you analyze so that you are just focused on a handful of major markets. The first step in this simple plan is to figure out the markets you will trade and make sure you’re not looking at more than 10 or 12 per day, the list that I use above is suitable for any currency trader to use.

Step 2: Clean up your charts and only trade daily charts

Next, it’s time to get your charts setup. Open the daily charts of the markets I’ve discussed above, or whichever 10 or 12 you want to follow. If you don’t know how to get your charts looking like mine, then read this metatrader 4 tutorial that I wrote, it will help you get all setup.

The second requirement for this simple trading plan is to only look at and trade the daily chart time frames, if you start looking at the 4 hour and 1 hour charts or below, you will have broken your discipline, and I can only vouch that this plan will work for you if you follow it to the T.

Step 3: Pick one setup to trade

This step is critical; you will only be trading one price action signal for this trading routine. Last week, I wrote an article on how to master your trading strategy, I suggest you go read that before implementing the plan I’m laying out in this article. Eventually, you can try learning different entry signals, but for the purpose of this simple trading plan I am designing for you this week, you should only trade one signal. If you start to see that you’ve stopped losing money each month and that your account is growing slowly but surely after using this plan for two or three months, then you can start implementing different entry signals. But, for now, I need you to understand that you have to narrow your focus, remove variables and reduce clutter from your mind and charts to really “turn the corner” in your trading, and the best way to start this process is learning to become a master of one setup at a time.

Step 4: Follow this money management plan

 

For purposes of simplicity and to show you the power of risk reward, all the trades that you take while following this plan will be set at a 1:2 risk reward. That means, your profit targets will be twice the dollar amount as your risk.

The way to place your stop loss properly is to use the surrounding market structure to figure out the most logical place to put it that gives the trade the best chance at working out but also is not too far away. What this basically means is that you should not place your stop an arbitrary level because you want to trade a certain position size…this is greed, and it will end up working against you in the end. You should have predetermined your 1R risk per trade (this is the dollar amount you risk per trade), then when you find a setup you want to trade you figure out the safest and most logical place to put the stop loss…then you adjust your position size so that you are only risking your predetermined dollar risk amount.

You will place your profit targets with the aim of getting a 2R reward on every trade; that just means two times your risk. However, in placing targets you do also need to consider the surrounding market structure; if a logical 2R reward is not realistically possible because a large key level is in the way, then you might have to reconsider taking the trade.

After you figure out the most logical stop placement you will then adjust your position size down or up to meet your predetermined dollar risk amount. If you need more help on this topic of position sizing, check out this article on risk reward and position sizing.

Step 5: Track your progress in a trading journal

The next part of this simple plan is to make sure you’re recording everything in your trading journal. If you do not have one you can get a trading journal here. Keeping a journal of all your trades is probably something that many traders forget about or that falls to the wayside after a few weeks…but you can’t let it. You NEED the track record created from keeping a journal to make trading feel more like a business and to bring more of a process into your trading routine. The actual process of entering your trades and journaling them will help to keep you disciplined because it reflects back to you your trading results. If your trading results show that you’ve made emotional trading errors like risking more than you knew you should per trade or entering stupid trades that you knew you shouldn’t have…you will see these things in your journal and hopefully you’ll stop doing them.

It’s easy to be lazy and gamble your money in the markets, but when you are forcing yourself to keep a journal of all your trades you will be a lot more aware and conscious of your behavior in the market. If your behavior is that of a gambler, you will then clearly be able to see that YOU are the problem with your trading and that you need to adopt the proper trading mindset to succeed. If your trading journal begins to show a pattern of consistency in following your risk management model and your trading strategy…it will be something you can proud of…few traders have a track record that they are confident in showing to other people or potential investors. You have to use the trading journal as a tool to reinforce positive trading habits and help eradicate negative ones, and you do this by forcing yourself to manually record your trades, think about them and analyze them.

Step 6: Follow the plan

Now, clearly the plan I’ve laid out today will not work if you don’t follow it. You need to be sure that if you commit to this plan you actually follow it. Give it at least two months, and then evaluate where you’re at. Maybe you’ve stopped losing money and are breaking even now, maybe you’ve made a nice profit each month, either way it’s an improvement over losing money each month, and that is the point of the simple plan I’ve laid out here today for you; to get you off the track of hemorrhaging money from your trading account and onto the track of slowly but surely becoming a profitable trader.

Step 7: Challenge yourself

 

Perhaps the best way to think about the guidelines I’ve laid out for you in today’s article, is that they are a challenge to yourself. Many people have trouble completing even the seemingly simplest tasks; reading a book from cover to cover in two weeks, getting to work on time or early each day, exercising three times a week consistently…whatever the task, it can be very hard for many people to stay focused on it long enough to see its benefits pay off. In trading, this trouble with focus and discipline is an even bigger problem than in most other things we do; because in trading your hard-earned money is on the line each day.

To end today’s lesson, I want you to do something if you’re really serious about following this simple plan that I’ve laid out here today. I want you to either print out this lesson and sign the bottom of it as a pledge that you will follow it, or write yourself a little “commitment” pledge and print it out and sign it. Hang this paper on your wall next to your trading desk or put it somewhere where you will see it each day before you trade. The first step to becoming a profitable trader is seeing if you have the discipline and patience to stick to a simple plan like this for two months. After two months, come back and leave me another comment on this article or drop me an email and tell me about your trading results. If you want to learn more about simple trading strategies that can help you dramatically improve your trading results, checkout my Price Action Trading Course here.


Clement Jouling ialah Perunding Unit Amanah berlesen (Licensed Unit Trust Consultant). Sekiranya anda berminat untuk mengetahui lebih lanjut tentang pelaburan unit amanah, boleh hubungi beliau terutamanya buat anda yang berada di Kota Kinabalu dan sekitarnya.

Thursday 21 February 2013

Trade Responsibly Chapter 2: Trade With the Trend

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You’ve probably heard the expression: “Make the trend your friend”. For many, this basic idea has already been forgotten and regarded as yet another cliché. Nevertheless, it is still very relevant.

If your system involves looking at 1 hour charts, check out the 4 hours charts and the daily charts to get the bigger picture. What is the general direction of your currency pair?

Are the larger scoped charts headed lower when you place a long position? Maybe it is time to rethink your position.

Sure, you can money on corrections. If the pair approached a resistance line and the general direction is up, you may short the pair when it approaches the line and profit off the bounce. But let’s remember two things:

This could be the break: Perhaps the pair has enough momentum to cross the line this time. If the general direction is higher, you don’t want to be the contrarian in this case, as your trade will lose.

Corrections are smaller: Breakouts are usually stronger than corrections. Many traders use Fibonacci lines to measure the potential of the correction. Using this theory, a correction is 38.2%, 50% or 61.2% of the move while a breakout has a larger potential of covering 100% of the previous range, according to the same theories.

Of course, breakouts can be false, and may not yield the desired results. There are ways to cope with false breakouts, and in many cases, the preliminary false breakout is a preparation for the big move. The wider trend longer term trend has a better chance of being the winning one.

Trying to outsmart the markets sounds bold and can make a great impression on your friends, but you won’t be running to boast your victories to your friends if this strategy turns out to be a losing one.

Sideways
When the currency pair of choice trades sideways, there is no trend in theory and both directions can work. Also in this case, it is important to have another look and try to identify if any direction, up or down is emerging.

Has the pair recently been trading in an uptrend or downtrend channel within the current range? What is the news about the currencies in question? In some cases, a potential direction can emerge for the pair and you could be aware of this and take advantage of this.

Flat ranges aren’t forever. The pair will eventually break out, and making a deeper analysis can help you find the right direction.

Source: http://lottinggi.blogspot.com/2013/02/trade-responsibly-chapter-2-trade-with.html
Clement Jouling ialah Perunding Unit Amanah berlesen (Licensed Unit Trust Consultant). Sekiranya anda berminat untuk mengetahui lebih lanjut tentang pelaburan unit amanah, boleh hubungi beliau terutamanya buat anda yang berada di Kota Kinabalu dan sekitarnya.

Trade Responsibly Chapter 1: Money Management



Isn’t money management a nice buzzword? Many forex brokers flash around this nice phrase. I’m sure you’ve heard it many times. How can you turn this buzzword into practical, actionable advice?

As with any type of investment, there is risk. The idea is to control your risk and be aware of it. This will save you from the infamous margin call, as well as let you control your account in a better way.

1. Limit the risk: When you open a trade, place a stop loss order to get you out of your trade and prevent a situation where you lose too much. This states the obvious for the vast majority of traders reading this, but I still know some traders who don’t use a stop loss order. This precarious deed is done also by people who work at forex broker firms and trade with their account. Sad but true.

2. How much money are you risking: Many traders calculate the risk / reward ratio. Some look for 2:1 or 3:1. That’s great. But how many dollars are you actually risking? This data is available with most brokers. Is this sum too high? In that case, there are two mathematical options to reduce the amount of money you risk:
1. Tighten your Stop Loss: In this way, less money is at risk. Sounds good? Not exactly. Perhaps your new Stop Loss is too tight and will yield an immediate loss to that position. Lowering the amount of money you risk doesn’t mean raising the chances of a loss! The stop loss point should be based on your analysis: technical, fundamental or a combination. It shouldn’t be based on the amount of money risked.

2. Lowering the position size: With a lower position size, you will still get to place the stop loss point in the right place for you, but the money that is risked will be lower. Yes, also the rewards side will be lower. And yes, it is tempting to trade large positions. But remember: this is leveraged money, not real money that you have. By lowering the position size you still get to trade your position in full, and just risk less cash.

3. How much of your account are you risking? OK, you already see the amount of dollars that you are risking, but saying it bluntly: what is your burn rate? Let’s say you have an account of $1000 and you risk 20%. Now your first trade has gone bad, and you lose $200. You stick to your method but it doesn’t work out again and you lose another $200. In 5 trades you are out, liquidated, margin-called. If you are new to forex trading, you are likely to make more mistakes and lose more in your initial trades. Risking a big portion of your account means that you can burn out quickly before you had enough time to learn, improve and win enough trades.

A rule of thumb: Don’t risk more than 2% of your account!

I know this sounds very strict, but this rule will help you survive, learn and eventually increase your chances of having sustainable profits in forex trading.

A forex demo account is very useful for practice, but it doesn’t fully simulate the real thing – not in execution (detailed later) and not in the emotional stress. Having enough opportunities to trade helps you trade better.

Clement Jouling ialah Perunding Unit Amanah berlesen (Licensed Unit Trust Consultant). Sekiranya anda berminat untuk mengetahui lebih lanjut tentang pelaburan unit amanah, boleh hubungi beliau terutamanya buat anda yang berada di Kota Kinabalu dan sekitarnya.

Sunday 10 February 2013

6 Simple Steps to Wealth

By Brian Halim (guest contributor)

Many believe there is a great secret to becoming wealthy. Few realize that the simple basics are all you need to build wealth. The “secret” to wealth is not much of a secret. A variety of simple concepts and actions can be applied to achieve prosperity. Follow the following six steps and you will be on your way to building your wealth.

1. Spend less than you earn
The number one rule of personal finance is this: You cannot spend more than what you earn. You must live within your means, and take care that you never outspend your income.

2. Reduce Debt
Pay down your debt, and you free up resources that can be used to improve your net worth. If you are leveraging on your loan, repay your loans diligently. Reduce the amount of interest you pay, and instead use that money to your advantage.

3. Grow Income
If you want more, you need to earn more. Look for ways to grow your income. Maximize the lifetime earnings of your career as well as seek non-career options to profit like part-time jobs. Staying overtime in an office that does not pay you extra will not help you, unless it will lead to a promotion.

4. Save for the Future
Your emergency fund can protect you against financial setbacks or unforeseen emergencies. Be prepared and stay calm.

5. Invest in Yourself
Wealth also depends on your human capital. Invest in yourself by getting an education, and/or developing a skill. It does not necessarily need to be a degree. All you need is a marketable skill, or a knowledge base that can help you improve your finances.

6. Play Good Defense
Be sure to avoid the worst finance mistakes that people make. They can derail your gains and even ruin all of the hard work you put in to grow your net worth. When reading the above actions, it is easy to dismiss them. If it were so easy, everyone would be wealthy. The steps that lead to wealth are simple concepts. Applying these concepts is much harder.

7. Building Blocks of Wealth: Discipline, Patience, and Persistence
In addition to the steps above, you also need to develop three qualities to ensure maximize the chances that you will achieve wealth.

7(a). Discipline
Discipline requires a measure of self-control in expenditure. Rather than buying everything you want, prioritize and purchase only what is important to you. This will help get rid of debt and build your savings. Earning money requires discipline. Growing your income means that you have to get up early and do extra work. Occasionally, you might have to complete tasks you find unpleasant. Knowledge and skills too are acquired only after you exercise the discipline to study and to practice them.

7(b). Patience
In today’s world, we are bombarded with promises of instant gratification. We want that expensive car now. You can have your vacation with a credit card. A 60-inch television can be yours if you qualify for in-store financing. The inability to wait and save up the money for what we want leads to debt and financial insecurity.
Results require time. A good emergency fund takes months, or even years, to build. Dollar-cost averaging in your investment portfolio requires decades of patience.

7(c). Persistence
Persistence is the ability to keep with your wealth-building efforts. It is easy to give up when you do not see quick results, or when you see your neighbors enjoying their over-leveraged lifestyles. However, in the long run, those neighbors are likely to have very little wealth, since most of the goods they enjoy have been bought with debt. It is hard to see that when everyone around you is having fun while you follow a more practical course. But stay the course.

Take action now. There will be many temptations along the way. It is up to you to decide which path to take. Follow the simple concepts of building wealth with discipline, patience, persistence, and you will achieve financial freedom. The concepts behind wealth are that simple, but it takes hard work to put them into practice.

By guest contributor Brian Halim, a professional accountant who blogs at A Path to Forever Financial Freedom. Posted via www.MoneyMatters.sg, your guide on how to make more money, save smarter, invest intelligently, and enjoy your money like a pro. Click here to get our free report on what you must know about financial freedom.


Clement Jouling ialah Perunding Unit Amanah berlesen (Licensed Unit Trust Consultant). Sekiranya anda berminat untuk mengetahui lebih lanjut tentang pelaburan unit amanah, boleh hubungi beliau terutamanya buat anda yang berada di Kota Kinabalu dan sekitarnya.

Tuesday 5 February 2013

Do you dream of early retirement - when you are still young?

Financial Snacks by Joyce Chuah


To be able to afford to retire young is a dream held by many as it is an indication of financial success. Early retirement usually does not mean ceasing from work but freedom from having to work due to financial needs. So where can we start? Grace Chuah writes:

Decide on the life-style you wish to have in retirement.
Some have a simple lifestyle − walking, gardening, and local holidays − but for others, enjoyment means overseas holidays, fine dining, living in high end condos. One consideration is also whether or not you want to continue working and earning active income during your retirement years', though at a more relaxed pace.

Calculate how much you need in order to fund your retirement lifestyle.
Mortgage repayments, children education and living and medical bills (ideally covered by medical insurance) are major expenses. If you need RM5,000 spending money per month, a capital sum of RM1mil (retirement nest egg) at a consistent dividend yield of 6% per annum will be simple enough to cover retirement costs.

However, one needs to factor in inflation. At 7% inflation rate, RM5,000 becomes RM7,000 and at 6% inflation rate, a RM200,000 education fee becomes RM335,000 in five years' time. The only way to overcome inflation is to invest.

Work out the strategy to meet the gap between what you would have and what you would need during retirement.
To close the gap, you need to build up your nest egg, readjust your desired retirement lifestyle or postpone your retirement to a later age. Cut down on unnecessary spending. What matters more is how much you save, not what you earn. Pay yourself first every month and increase this amount as your income increases. Invest your retirement savings in a long-term portfolio and rebalance it annually.

Take action now.
A retirement age is an artificial finish line but nonetheless serves as a goal-post. When we start planning early, we have the advantage of time to enjoy the effect of compounding returns over time and to fine-tune our investment strategies and recover from mistakes early.

Remember the quote “Someone's sitting in the shade today because someone planted a tree a long time ago”. Plant the tree for yourself today.

Clement Jouling ialah Perunding Unit Amanah berlesen (Licensed Unit Trust Consultant). Sekiranya anda berminat untuk mengetahui lebih lanjut tentang pelaburan unit amanah, boleh hubungi beliau terutamanya buat anda yang berada di Kota Kinabalu dan sekitarnya.